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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Omega Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
56%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
25%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 7 games
86%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
343 · 6 games
33%

Omega Esports

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 15 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 13 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 11 games
55%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 10 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
78%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
390 picks · 214 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
390 picks · 1006 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
381 picks · 634 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
365 picks · 358 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
328 picks · 185 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
292 picks · 207 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
276 picks · 611 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Omega Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 52%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:1
Series predictionmissed