BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
390 picks · 1001 bans
Lion
389 picks · 214 bans
Mars
380 picks · 632 bans
Grimstroke
365 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 205 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
275 picks · 368 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed50:13
Infamous 62%EgoBoys 38%
The model gave 62% on Infamous — the game was taken by EgoBoys in 34:11.
Game 2prediction missed19:50
Infamous 62%EgoBoys 38%
The model gave 62% on Infamous — the game was taken by EgoBoys in 32:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 62%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2