WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Secretloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Secret
Pucksignature
Nisha · 10 games
Rubicksignature
YapzOr · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
zai · 7 games
Snapfiresignature
Puppey · 7 games
Tusksignature
YapzOr · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
MATUMBAMAN · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
zai · 6 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
MATUMBAMAN · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
390 picks · 1000 bans
Lion
388 picks · 213 bans
Mars
379 picks · 631 bans
Grimstroke
364 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 205 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
275 picks · 367 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% Team Secret
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:22
Invictus Gaming 53%Team Secret 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Secret in 29:35.
Game 2prediction missed30:21
Invictus Gaming 53%Team Secret 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Secret in 34:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 53%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2