WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
AS Monaco Gambitloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spiritoften banned
xsvampire · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
388 picks · 215 bans
Puck
388 picks · 1003 bans
Mars
377 picks · 630 bans
Grimstroke
363 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 205 bans
Tusk
292 picks · 221 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 612 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:13
Invictus Gaming 57%AS Monaco Gambit 43%
The model gave 57% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 32:18.
Game 2prediction missed20:7
Invictus Gaming 57%AS Monaco Gambit 43%
The model gave 57% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 18:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 57%
Accuracy by game0 of 2