BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Q · 7 games
Lionsignature
Q · 7 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 6 games
Snapfire
Q · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
LionaX · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 4 games
Ursaoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 7 games
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 7 games
Snapfire
343 · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
386 picks · 1000 bans
Lion
384 picks · 213 bans
Mars
374 picks · 628 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 362 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 184 bans
Tusk
292 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
290 picks · 201 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 613 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 69%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect