BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Esportswin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SBSouth Built Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Esports
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 15 games
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
Tiny
Tino- · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 11 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
South Built Esports
Puckoften banned
Bob · 6 games
Alchemistoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
Gyrocopter
Abat · 5 games
Tiny
Bob · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 5 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Abat · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Bob · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
384 picks · 996 bans
Lion
380 picks · 212 bans
Mars
371 picks · 618 bans
Grimstroke
354 picks · 361 bans
Snapfire
317 picks · 184 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 196 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 617 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Omega Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:22
Omega Esports 68%South Built Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 30:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomSam_H
JuggernautAbat
KunkkaMac
PugnaEnryu
Faceless VoidTino-
Earth SpiritMarb
Hoodwinkcml
Grimstrokejobeeezy
Game 2prediction correct40:16
Omega Esports 68%South Built Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 22:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinMac
PuckMarb
Nature's ProphetSam_H
AxeEnryu
TinyTino-
Drow RangerAbat
Warlockcml
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 78%
Series resultOmega Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2