BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
375 picks · 207 bans
Puck
373 picks · 976 bans
Mars
364 picks · 600 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 359 bans
Snapfire
314 picks · 178 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
278 picks · 191 bans
Death Prophet
277 picks · 611 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% simply TOOBASED
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 56%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictioncorrect