?
arrow_backBack to match
Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggloss 1:2
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Winstrike Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 24 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 24 games
71%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 20 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Aramis · 20 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 19 games
68%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Shad · 18 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
KheZu · 16 games
81%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
63%

Winstrike Team

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
yamich · 15 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
re1bl · 15 games
67%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
dyrachyo · 14 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
yamich · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marsoften banned
chshrct · 10 games
50%
Lion
Lion
yamich · 9 games
22%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 207 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
373 picks · 977 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
362 picks · 598 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
341 picks · 359 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
311 picks · 178 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 221 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
277 picks · 188 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
276 picks · 612 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:43
ViKin.gg 71%Winstrike Team 29%
The model gave 71% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 1:20:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautShad
53% · 72 games50% · 65 games
Linare1bl
Lina
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinBOOM
50% · 31 game47% · 45 games
Dark Seerchshrct
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterKheZu
47% · 67 games47% · 28 games
Slarkdyrachyo
Slark
Clockwerk
ClockwerkAramis
53% · 57 games51% · 31 game
Winter WyvernPanto
Winter Wyvern
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
43% · 81 game56% · 139 games
Nyx Assassinyamich
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct43:33
ViKin.gg 73%Winstrike Team 27%
The model gave 73% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 52:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorKheZu
59% · 33 games54% · 66 games
Batriderre1bl
Batrider
Mars
MarsBOOM
53% · 156 games38% · 82 games
Ursadyrachyo
Ursa
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidShad
49% · 35 games42% · 36 games
Enigmachshrct
Enigma
Mirana
MiranaAramis
51% · 84 games51% · 75 games
Clockwerkyamich
Clockwerk
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
62% · 60 games42% · 109 games
OraclePanto
Oracle
Game 3prediction missed17:30
ViKin.gg 69%Winstrike Team 31%
The model gave 69% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 42:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingShad
53% · 84 games57% · 62 games
Templar Assassinre1bl
Templar Assassin
Lina
LinaBOOM
42% · 44 games52% · 51 game
Bristlebackdyrachyo
Bristleback
Death Prophet
Death ProphetKheZu
44% · 114 games53% · 71 game
Enigmayamich
Enigma
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
46% · 72 games53% · 106 games
Timbersawchshrct
Timbersaw
Tidehunter
TidehunterAramis
52% · 65 games46% · 89 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 82%
Series resultWinstrike Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3