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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 22 games
68%
Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 21 game
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
79%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 14 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 13 games
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 12 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Yopaj · 11 games
55%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
44%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
25%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
63%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 7 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
43%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 6 games
83%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
AlaCrity · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
375 picks · 978 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 205 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
364 picks · 594 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
341 picks · 360 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
309 picks · 176 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 219 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
276 picks · 615 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
273 picks · 188 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:14
Neon Esports 48%Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 31:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinNatsumi
49% · 36 games44% · 51 game
UrsainYourdreaM
Ursa
Magnus
MagnusYopaj
47% · 30 games48% · 26 games
KunkkaAlaCrity
Kunkka
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSkem
55% · 70 games42% · 28 games
BroodmotherMeracle
Broodmother
Mirana
MiranaPlayHard
61% · 49 games38% · 14 games
HoodwinkJhocam
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenJaunuel
52% · 21 game53% · 87 games
SnapfirePoloson
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct6:31
Neon Esports 48%Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 32:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingNatsumi
47% · 144 games57% · 35 games
SpectreinYourdreaM
Spectre
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYopaj
48% · 113 games46% · 268 games
PuckAlaCrity
Puck
Necrophos
NecrophosSkem
58% · 12 games59% · 49 games
Dark SeerMeracle
Dark Seer
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPlayHard
47% · 145 games50% · 118 games
PhoenixJhocam
Phoenix
Snapfire
SnapfireJaunuel
52% · 119 games46% · 63 games
ClockwerkPoloson
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2