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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 5 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Q · 4 games
100%
Lion
Lion
Q · 4 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 4 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
LionaX · 2 games
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fearless · 2 games
100%

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
57%
Lion
Lion
Hyde · 7 games
29%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
376 picks · 970 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
370 picks · 204 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
362 picks · 585 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
339 picks · 360 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
307 picks · 174 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
287 picks · 219 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
275 picks · 615 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
268 picks · 183 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)88% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:11
Motivate.Trust Gaming 64%BOOM Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 33:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautJaCkky
47% · 106 games52% · 16 games
SvenDreamocel
Sven
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightFearless
49% · 39 games54% · 25 games
DoomFbz
Doom
Mirana
MiranaQ
47% · 106 games53% · 55 games
BatriderMikoto
Batrider
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionLionaX
54% · 66 games49% · 136 games
PhoenixKhezcute
Phoenix
49% · 85 games
Nyx AssassinHyde
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction missed20:30
Motivate.Trust Gaming 66%BOOM Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 34:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaJaCkky
49% · 101 game37% · 25 games
LunaDreamocel
Luna
Kunkka
KunkkaFearless
48% · 40 games49% · 51 game
Ember SpiritMikoto
Ember Spirit
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
49% · 98 games55% · 73 games
TidehunterFbz
Tidehunter
Snapfire
SnapfireLionaX
50% · 140 games50% · 121 game
LionKhezcute
Lion
56% · 109 games
Nyx AssassinHyde
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 75%
Accuracy by game1 of 2