BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
EgoBoysloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 967 bans
Lion
371 picks · 201 bans
Mars
360 picks · 584 bans
Grimstroke
336 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
303 picks · 174 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 216 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 617 bans
Void Spirit
264 picks · 453 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:46
EgoBoys 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 27:14.
Game 2prediction correct51:38
EgoBoys 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 39:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 50%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2