BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Undyingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 969 bans
Lion
370 picks · 200 bans
Mars
359 picks · 581 bans
Grimstroke
336 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
301 picks · 174 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 216 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 619 bans
Void Spirit
266 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Hokori 26%Team Undying 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Team Undying in 53:34.
Game 2prediction correct54:28
Hokori 26%Team Undying 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Team Undying in 41:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 74%
Series resultTeam Undying 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2