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ESL One Summer 2021. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:1
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Uniqueloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 24 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 23 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 20 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 19 games
68%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Shad · 18 games
78%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
KheZu · 16 games
81%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BOOM · 16 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
KheZu · 15 games
87%

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
377 picks · 972 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 201 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 584 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
337 picks · 362 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
299 picks · 174 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 216 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
282 picks · 622 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
269 picks · 459 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total85% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:12
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 34:59.
Game 2prediction missed12:21
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Team Unique in 44:57.
Game 3prediction correct23:10
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 40:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 85%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3