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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Omega Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 22 games
68%
Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 19 games
63%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
79%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 14 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 13 games
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 12 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Skem · 11 games
55%

Omega Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 14 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 11 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sam_H · 10 games
60%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 9 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
378 picks · 977 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 201 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 585 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
338 picks · 365 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
299 picks · 174 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 216 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
284 picks · 622 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
270 picks · 465 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Neon Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total50% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:23
Neon Esports 49%Omega Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 37:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNatsumi
47% · 109 games50% · 344 games
PuckKen
Puck
Mars
MarsSkem
54% · 168 games55% · 40 games
DoomSam_H
Doom
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYopaj
51% · 92 games50% · 95 games
MorphlingTino-
Morphling
Mirana
MiranaPlayHard
49% · 100 games46% · 176 games
Tuskcml
Tusk
Lion
LionJaunuel
51% · 186 games
Game 2prediction correct18:26
Neon Esports 50%Omega Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 40:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNatsumi
45% · 51 game51% · 56 games
UrsaTino-
Ursa
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYopaj
47% · 28 games46% · 46 games
LinaKen
Lina
Slardar
SlardarSkem
55% · 26 games59% · 70 games
Centaur WarrunnerSam_H
Centaur Warrunner
Leshrac
LeshracPlayHard
51% · 57 games42% · 24 games
Warlockcml
Warlock
Abaddon
AbaddonJaunuel
46% · 34 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2