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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Omega Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
vtFαded · 7 games
43%
Brewmaster
Brewmaster
AhFu · 6 games
33%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
AhFu · 6 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 6 games
50%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
MidOne · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ohaiyo · 5 games
60%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
AhFu · 5 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mushi · 5 games
20%

Omega Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sam_H · 10 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 9 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mac · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
380 picks · 978 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 201 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
361 picks · 586 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
338 picks · 364 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
299 picks · 173 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 217 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
284 picks · 622 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
272 picks · 465 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:37
Team SMG 47%Omega Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 29:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenMidOne
54% · 20 games57% · 35 games
Faceless VoidTino-
Faceless Void
Omniknight
Omniknightkpii
50% · 6 games49% · 58 games
TinyJG
Tiny
Lion
LionAhFu
47% · 87 games43% · 32 games
Legion CommanderSam_H
Legion Commander
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRoddgeee
55% · 26 games50% · 14 games
Warlockcml
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed45:12
Team SMG 44%Omega Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Team SMG in 26:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Riki
RikiMidOne
46% · 16 games41% · 10 games
SpectreTino-
Spectre
Tidehunter
Tidehunterkpii
51% · 54 games62% · 11 games
BroodmotherSam_H
Broodmother
Lina
LinaAhFu
45% · 39 games50% · 64 games
Death ProphetKen
Death Prophet
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerRoddgeee
57% · 3 games53% · 27 games
Clockwerkcml
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2