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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 22 games
68%
Mirana
Mirana
PlayHard · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
79%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 14 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 14 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 13 games
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 12 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Skem · 11 games
55%

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
57%
Lion
Lion
Hyde · 7 games
29%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
381 picks · 973 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
371 picks · 199 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
364 picks · 588 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
341 picks · 361 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
294 picks · 172 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 222 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
285 picks · 630 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
275 picks · 467 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Neon Esports
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total54% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 54%