BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
379 picks · 969 bans
Lion
370 picks · 198 bans
Mars
364 picks · 582 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 361 bans
Snapfire
294 picks · 172 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 222 bans
Death Prophet
285 picks · 629 bans
Void Spirit
275 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 32%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:13
4 Zoomers 66%simply TOOBASED 34%
The model gave 66% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 27:13.
Game 2prediction correct29:19
4 Zoomers 66%simply TOOBASED 34%
The model gave 66% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 40:28.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 66%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2