BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSBSouth Built Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
South Built Esports
Alchemistoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
Gyrocopter
Abat · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Enryu · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Enryu · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
Tiny
Bob · 3 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 6 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
AlaCrity · 5 games
Rikioften banned
Ghost · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
343 · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
381 picks · 976 bans
Lion
373 picks · 198 bans
Mars
364 picks · 588 bans
Grimstroke
344 picks · 361 bans
Snapfire
293 picks · 171 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 223 bans
Death Prophet
287 picks · 638 bans
Void Spirit
277 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% South Built Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:42
South Built Esports 41%Nigma Galaxy SEA 59%
The model gave 59% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 33:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaMarb
LifestealerinYourdreaM
Void SpiritBob
InvokerAlaCrity
Legion CommanderEnryu
Chaos KnightMeracle
62% · 31 game
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
48% · 62 games
TuskJhocam
Game 2prediction correct11:35
South Built Esports 46%Nigma Galaxy SEA 54%
The model gave 54% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 24:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageMarb
Wraith KinginYourdreaM
DoomBob
Ember SpiritAlaCrity
UrsaEnryu
Dark SeerMeracle
44% · 39 games
LionJhocam
40% · 17 games
UndyingPoloson
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 62%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2