BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 9 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
Iooften banned
Dreamocel · 5 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
382 picks · 980 bans
Lion
371 picks · 197 bans
Mars
365 picks · 589 bans
Grimstroke
346 picks · 363 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 642 bans
Snapfire
292 picks · 170 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 223 bans
Void Spirit
281 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 29%
Hero pool strength53% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
BOOM Esports 65%Lilgun 35%
The model gave 65% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 27:59.
Game 2prediction correct38:29
BOOM Esports 65%Lilgun 35%
The model gave 65% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 40:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 65%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2