BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
382 picks · 979 bans
Lion
370 picks · 196 bans
Mars
363 picks · 589 bans
Grimstroke
346 picks · 363 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 643 bans
Snapfire
292 picks · 168 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 223 bans
Void Spirit
281 picks · 478 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:21
Hokori 55%Infamous 45%
The model gave 55% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 38:43.
Game 2prediction missed4:18
Hokori 55%Infamous 45%
The model gave 55% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 21:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 55%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2