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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
South Built Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Omega Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

South Built Esports

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
80%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Abat · 5 games
80%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Enryu · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Enryu · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Bob · 3 games
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Bob · 3 games
33%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 3 games
33%

Omega Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 13 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sam_H · 10 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mac · 8 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
384 picks · 983 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 194 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
362 picks · 594 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
352 picks · 363 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 651 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
291 picks · 481 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
290 picks · 166 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
290 picks · 224 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:51
South Built Esports 39%Omega Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 55:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordMarb
50% · 70 games45% · 98 games
UrsaTino-
Ursa
Puck
PuckBob
51% · 130 games49% · 51 game
InvokerMac
Invoker
Mars
MarsEnryu
55% · 131 game43% · 23 games
BroodmotherSam_H
Broodmother
51% · 159 games
Grimstrokecml
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct15:42
South Built Esports 41%Omega Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 32:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinMarb
51% · 27 games46% · 50 games
Storm SpiritMac
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritBob
53% · 34 games50% · 34 games
Faceless VoidTino-
Faceless Void
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerEnryu
58% · 46 games39% · 17 games
BroodmotherSam_H
Broodmother
30% · 6 games
Hoodwinkcml
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 72%
Series resultOmega Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2