Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PuckChampwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Miranasignature
Mira · 17 games
Grimstrokesignature
Miposhka · 14 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 13 games
Void Spiritoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Oraclesignature
Miposhka · 12 games
Pucksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 12 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Yatoro · 10 games
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
390 picks · 992 bans
Lion
378 picks · 195 bans
Mars
368 picks · 600 bans
Grimstroke
357 picks · 362 bans
Death Prophet
306 picks · 660 bans
Void Spirit
295 picks · 488 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 226 bans
Snapfire
288 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 48%
Hero pool strength64% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Spirit 74%PuckChamp 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by PuckChamp.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 74%
Series resultPuckChamp 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1