Чемпионат России по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionРАРеспублика Алтайloss 1:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DDisRespecTwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Республика Алтай
No games played over 6 months.
DisRespecT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
394 picks · 1011 bans
Lion
379 picks · 196 bans
Mars
374 picks · 602 bans
Grimstroke
363 picks · 367 bans
Death Prophet
308 picks · 674 bans
Void Spirit
308 picks · 494 bans
Tusk
300 picks · 227 bans
Snapfire
285 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Республика Алтай
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Республика Алтай
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteРеспублика Алтай · 55%
Series resultDisRespecT 1:2
Series predictionmissed