i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
398 picks · 1010 bans
Mars
371 picks · 606 bans
Lion
368 picks · 190 bans
Grimstroke
363 picks · 365 bans
Void Spirit
317 picks · 506 bans
Death Prophet
311 picks · 681 bans
Tusk
308 picks · 225 bans
Snapfire
269 picks · 148 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total77% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:8
Invictus Gaming 77%Royal Never Give Up 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 25:48.
Game 2prediction missed22:37
Invictus Gaming 77%Royal Never Give Up 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 24:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 77%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2