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i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 27 games
81%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
y` · 26 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 20 games
70%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 19 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 18 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
61%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
72%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 16 games
81%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
395 picks · 1009 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
369 picks · 605 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
365 picks · 190 bans
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
362 picks · 365 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
317 picks · 506 bans
47%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
310 picks · 676 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 225 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
265 picks · 146 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total89% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:16
LGD Gaming 89%Royal Never Give Up 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:56.
Game 2prediction missed13:41
LGD Gaming 89%Royal Never Give Up 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 32:12.
Game 3prediction missed20:41
LGD Gaming 89%Royal Never Give Up 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 36:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 89%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3