Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Sparking Arrow Gamingloss 0:2series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sparking Arrow Gaming
Elder Titan
XCJ · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
September · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Son GoKu · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Dstones · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Son GoKu · 7 games
Mirana
September · 6 games
Oracleoften banned
XCJ · 6 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
XCJ · 5 games
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 21 game
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 17 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 16 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 15 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 14 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Dy · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
395 picks · 1009 bans
Mars
369 picks · 605 bans
Lion
365 picks · 190 bans
Grimstroke
362 picks · 365 bans
Void Spirit
317 picks · 506 bans
Death Prophet
310 picks · 676 bans
Tusk
308 picks · 225 bans
Snapfire
265 picks · 146 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 54%
Hero pool strength64% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total88% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 88%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect