?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Incubus Clubloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
King Of Kingswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Incubus Club

Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Aretes · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Jupiter · 8 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BlackSoul · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Aretes · 6 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Benny · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Nuages · 6 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Benjaz · 5 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Jupiter · 5 games
40%

King Of Kings

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
396 picks · 1013 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 605 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
367 picks · 190 bans
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
363 picks · 366 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
318 picks · 509 bans
47%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
313 picks · 680 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
309 picks · 225 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
264 picks · 145 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Incubus Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:24
Incubus Club 43%King Of Kings 57%
The model gave 57% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 32:32.
Game 2prediction correct29:45
Incubus Club 43%King Of Kings 57%
The model gave 57% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 46:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 57%
Series resultKing Of Kings 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2