i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 27 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 26 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 20 games
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 19 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 16 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
397 picks · 1014 bans
Mars
374 picks · 598 bans
Lion
358 picks · 185 bans
Grimstroke
353 picks · 363 bans
Void Spirit
325 picks · 513 bans
Death Prophet
317 picks · 689 bans
Tusk
308 picks · 226 bans
Earth Spirit
257 picks · 282 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 42%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total89% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:31
LGD Gaming 89%Royal Never Give Up 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 39:35.
Game 2prediction correct31:15
LGD Gaming 89%Royal Never Give Up 11%
The model gave 89% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 24:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 89%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2