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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:1
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Into The Breachloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 21 game
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 20 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 18 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 15 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 13 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 12 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
KheZu · 12 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BOOM · 12 games
67%

Into The Breach

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Xibbe · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 9 games
78%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Era · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Xibbe · 7 games
57%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Xibbe · 7 games
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Supream^ · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Era · 6 games
83%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ATF · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
402 picks · 1013 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 597 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
357 picks · 183 bans
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
353 picks · 361 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
332 picks · 516 bans
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
322 picks · 697 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 226 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
256 picks · 286 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:50
ViKin.gg 82%Into The Breach 18%
The model gave 82% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 44:39.
Game 2prediction correct24:50
ViKin.gg 82%Into The Breach 18%
The model gave 82% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 43:59.
Game 3prediction correct34:56
ViKin.gg 82%Into The Breach 18%
The model gave 82% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 1:08:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 82%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3