Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs predictionDSDemon Slayerwin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Demon Slayer
Dark Willow
Helios · 3 games
Lion
Helios · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 2 games
Snapfire
Helios · 2 games
Abaddon
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Night · 1 game
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Xtreme Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Storm · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Storm · 4 games
Windranger
Storm · 4 games
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
405 picks · 1012 bans
Mars
369 picks · 597 bans
Lion
352 picks · 184 bans
Grimstroke
351 picks · 359 bans
Void Spirit
332 picks · 518 bans
Death Prophet
318 picks · 701 bans
Tusk
309 picks · 226 bans
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 286 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 35%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Demon Slayer
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDemon Slayer · 56%
Series resultDemon Slayer 2:1
Series predictioncorrect