i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 27 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 25 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 17 games
Death Prophetoften banned
NothingToSay · 17 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
406 picks · 997 bans
Mars
357 picks · 572 bans
Void Spirit
341 picks · 524 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 352 bans
Lion
331 picks · 180 bans
Death Prophet
325 picks · 699 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 222 bans
Earth Spirit
262 picks · 277 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 67%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total71% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:12
Invictus Gaming 29%LGD Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 29:37.
Game 2prediction correct15:34
Invictus Gaming 29%LGD Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 34:28.
Game 3prediction correct15:4
Invictus Gaming 29%LGD Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 18:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 71%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3