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Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:1
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Uniqueloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 19 games
68%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 18 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 16 games
69%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 14 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 13 games
77%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Aramis · 11 games
64%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Shad · 10 games
70%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 10 games
70%

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 991 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
356 picks · 528 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 571 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
338 picks · 337 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
337 picks · 701 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
316 picks · 175 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 229 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 281 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:38
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Team Unique in 1:10:52.
Game 2prediction correct21:16
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 37:24.
Game 3prediction correct18:7
ViKin.gg 85%Team Unique 15%
The model gave 85% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 32:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 85%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3