Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DSDemon Slayerwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Storm · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Storm · 4 games
Windranger
Storm · 4 games
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Demon Slayer
Dark Willow
Helios · 3 games
Lion
Helios · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 2 games
Snapfire
Helios · 2 games
Abaddon
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Night · 1 game
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
406 picks · 991 bans
Void Spirit
360 picks · 529 bans
Mars
349 picks · 572 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 335 bans
Death Prophet
337 picks · 702 bans
Lion
314 picks · 172 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 228 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Series resultDemon Slayer 1:2
Series predictionmissed