Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
5ManMidasloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Electronic Boyswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Electronic Boys
Witch Doctor
albinozebra · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
red2 · 3 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
406 picks · 991 bans
Void Spirit
361 picks · 529 bans
Mars
350 picks · 572 bans
Grimstroke
339 picks · 335 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 703 bans
Lion
314 picks · 172 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 228 bans
Earth Spirit
270 picks · 282 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% 5ManMidas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favorite5ManMidas · 51%
Series resultElectronic Boys 0:2
Series predictionmissed