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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
King Of Kingsloss 1:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Crewmateswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

King Of Kings

No games played over 6 months.

Crewmates

Abaddon
Abaddon
DFlash · 6 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
H1j4ck · 5 games
20%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Rayuur · 5 games
20%
Io
Iooften banned
FCR · 4 games
25%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
FCR · 4 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
H1j4ck · 4 games
50%
Arc Warden
Arc Wardenoften banned
FCR · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
H1j4ck · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 994 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
363 picks · 530 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 573 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
340 picks · 335 bans
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
339 picks · 703 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
314 picks · 172 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 228 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 282 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% King Of Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:13
King Of Kings 69%Crewmates 31%
The model gave 69% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Crewmates in 37:04.
Game 2prediction missed28:8
King Of Kings 69%Crewmates 31%
The model gave 69% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Crewmates in 28:58.
Game 3prediction missed29:14
King Of Kings 69%Crewmates 31%
The model gave 69% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Crewmates in 32:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 69%
Series resultCrewmates 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3