Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
bumble bEE'sloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
bumble bEE's
Rubick
Sneyking · 6 games
Tidehuntersignature
Moo · 6 games
Witch Doctor
ppd · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Moo · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 5 games
Leshracoften banned
Ryoya · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
408 picks · 986 bans
Void Spirit
368 picks · 529 bans
Mars
351 picks · 571 bans
Death Prophet
339 picks · 706 bans
Grimstroke
334 picks · 333 bans
Lion
312 picks · 171 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 227 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% bumble bEE's
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 88%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect