i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:2series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team MagMawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 18 games
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 17 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 14 games
Gyrocopter
LaNm · 13 games
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 13 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 11 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 11 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 10 games
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
409 picks · 984 bans
Void Spirit
375 picks · 531 bans
Mars
350 picks · 567 bans
Death Prophet
342 picks · 709 bans
Grimstroke
333 picks · 335 bans
Lion
309 picks · 170 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 226 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 32%
Hero pool strength58% Team Aster
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total88% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:25
Team Aster 88%Team MagMa 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 38:38.
Game 2prediction missed3:22
Team Aster 88%Team MagMa 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 20:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 88%
Series resultTeam MagMa 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2