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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%

NoPing VPN

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 13 games
62%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Mariano · 7 games
57%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 7 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkMago · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
408 picks · 976 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
375 picks · 529 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
343 picks · 564 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
342 picks · 709 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
330 picks · 333 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
308 picks · 167 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
302 picks · 224 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
267 picks · 282 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:26
Infamous 32%NoPing VPN 68%
The model gave 68% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 36:23.
Game 2prediction correct14:31
Infamous 32%NoPing VPN 68%
The model gave 68% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 28:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 68%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2