Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
King Of Kingswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
Tusksignature
Zxca · 6 games
Chaos Knight
Mingatte · 4 games
Leshracoften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Dark Willow
Zxca · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Jeimari · 3 games
Snapfire
Zxca · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Jeimari · 2 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
407 picks · 976 bans
Void Spirit
374 picks · 531 bans
Death Prophet
344 picks · 712 bans
Mars
340 picks · 564 bans
Grimstroke
332 picks · 333 bans
Lion
307 picks · 167 bans
Tusk
302 picks · 225 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:48
Omega Gaming 48%King Of Kings 52%
The model gave 52% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 31:53.
Game 2prediction correct20:47
Omega Gaming 48%King Of Kings 52%
The model gave 52% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 27:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 52%
Series resultKing Of Kings 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2