DreamLeague Season 30. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs predictionKKukuysV3loss 0:1
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:1
InterActive Philippineswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KukuysV3
No games played over 6 months.
InterActive Philippines
Dark Seeroften banned
JG · 1 game
Doomoften banned
JG · 1 game
Sven
Karma丶 · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Karma丶 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
523 picks · 315 bans
Dark Willow
442 picks · 213 bans
Mirana
392 picks · 177 bans
Winter Wyvern
342 picks · 307 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 507 bans
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 294 bans
Earth Spirit
286 picks · 514 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 136 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% KukuysV3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
KukuysV3 34%InterActive Philippines 66%
The model gave 66% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 66%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1