i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
LGD Gaming
Elder Titansignature
y` · 25 games
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 25 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 18 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
Death Prophetoften banned
NothingToSay · 17 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 16 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 16 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
403 picks · 963 bans
Void Spirit
374 picks · 531 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 707 bans
Mars
333 picks · 551 bans
Grimstroke
324 picks · 327 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 218 bans
Lion
294 picks · 162 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 278 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 60%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total86% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:19
Team MagMa 14%LGD Gaming 86%
The model gave 86% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 46:13.
Game 2prediction correct18:35
Team MagMa 14%LGD Gaming 86%
The model gave 86% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 86%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2