Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bramewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Dark Seeroften banned
Mastermind · 2 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Bor@nija · 2 games
Dark Willow
Bor@nija · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Mirana
Mastermind · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Sand King
Bor@nija · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Brame
Earth Spiritoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Phoenixsignature
SsaSpartan · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
W1sh- · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
410 picks · 955 bans
Void Spirit
374 picks · 532 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 706 bans
Mars
335 picks · 549 bans
Grimstroke
321 picks · 324 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 219 bans
Lion
292 picks · 161 bans
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 278 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 62%
Hero pool strength60% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 60%
Series resultBrame 1:2
Series predictioncorrect