Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ViKin.ggloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
ViKin.gg
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 19 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 14 games
Pucksignature
BOOM · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 12 games
Juggernautsignature
Shad · 10 games
Lionsignature
Aramis · 10 games
Tusksignature
Aramis · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
408 picks · 942 bans
Void Spirit
371 picks · 531 bans
Death Prophet
345 picks · 702 bans
Mars
328 picks · 544 bans
Grimstroke
316 picks · 312 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 220 bans
Lion
281 picks · 158 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 76%
Hero pool strength59% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total76% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:34
HellRaisers 24%ViKin.gg 76%
The model gave 76% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 34:11.
Game 2prediction correct22:27
HellRaisers 24%ViKin.gg 76%
The model gave 76% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 35:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 76%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2