i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMawin 2:1series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
413 picks · 939 bans
Void Spirit
376 picks · 539 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 701 bans
Mars
328 picks · 547 bans
Grimstroke
312 picks · 310 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 219 bans
Lion
282 picks · 155 bans
Earth Spirit
272 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 66%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total89% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:29
Team MagMa 11%Invictus Gaming 89%
The model gave 89% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 34:52.
Game 2prediction correct42:16
Team MagMa 11%Invictus Gaming 89%
The model gave 89% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 38:00.
Game 3prediction correct9:20
Team MagMa 11%Invictus Gaming 89%
The model gave 89% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 21:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 89%
Series resultTeam MagMa 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3