Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chicken Fightersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ViKin.gg
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 19 games
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 14 games
Pucksignature
BOOM · 14 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 12 games
Juggernautsignature
Shad · 10 games
Lionsignature
Aramis · 10 games
Tusksignature
Aramis · 10 games
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
422 picks · 951 bans
Void Spirit
387 picks · 550 bans
Death Prophet
349 picks · 711 bans
Mars
328 picks · 563 bans
Grimstroke
312 picks · 302 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 213 bans
Earth Spirit
279 picks · 283 bans
Lion
272 picks · 148 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 64%
Hero pool strength58% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total78% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:10
ViKin.gg 78%Chicken Fighters 22%
The model gave 78% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 33:11.
Game 2prediction correct27:16
ViKin.gg 78%Chicken Fighters 22%
The model gave 78% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 36:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 78%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2