Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Electronic Boysloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Electronic Boys
Witch Doctor
albinozebra · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
red2 · 3 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
434 picks · 968 bans
Void Spirit
402 picks · 563 bans
Death Prophet
364 picks · 706 bans
Mars
342 picks · 583 bans
Grimstroke
308 picks · 299 bans
Earth Spirit
301 picks · 294 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 207 bans
Lion
263 picks · 140 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 78%
Hero pool strength52% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 80%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect