Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
434 picks · 968 bans
Void Spirit
402 picks · 563 bans
Death Prophet
364 picks · 706 bans
Mars
342 picks · 583 bans
Grimstroke
308 picks · 299 bans
Earth Spirit
301 picks · 294 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 207 bans
Lion
263 picks · 140 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total61% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 61%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect