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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team MagMa

No games played over 6 months.

Xtreme Gaming

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 6 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Storm · 6 games
67%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Storm · 4 games
25%
Windranger
Windranger
Storm · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Storm · 2 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
0%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 982 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
408 picks · 570 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
365 picks · 707 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
350 picks · 586 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
309 picks · 301 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
306 picks · 290 bans
45%
Tusk
Tusk
302 picks · 206 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
254 picks · 138 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Team MagMa
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team MagMa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam MagMa · 61%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed