i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
432 picks · 980 bans
Void Spirit
417 picks · 573 bans
Death Prophet
364 picks · 709 bans
Mars
347 picks · 591 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 302 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 198 bans
Grimstroke
301 picks · 275 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 412 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total83% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:31
Invictus Gaming 83%Team MagMa 17%
The model gave 83% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 48:01.
Game 2prediction missed11:31
Invictus Gaming 83%Team MagMa 17%
The model gave 83% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 28:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 83%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2