i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 16 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 11 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 10 games
Monkey Kingsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Juggernautsignature
poyoyo · 8 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
436 picks · 984 bans
Void Spirit
418 picks · 575 bans
Death Prophet
364 picks · 706 bans
Mars
348 picks · 594 bans
Earth Spirit
307 picks · 306 bans
Grimstroke
300 picks · 269 bans
Tusk
300 picks · 190 bans
Phoenix
267 picks · 409 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 69%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:12
Vici Gaming 56%Royal Never Give Up 44%
The model gave 56% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 35:59.
Game 2prediction correct21:13
Vici Gaming 56%Royal Never Give Up 44%
The model gave 56% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 29:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 56%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2